GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/20/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sonthofen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Türkspor Augsburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SonthofenWWWWL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Türkspor AugsburgLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SonthofenTürkspor Augsburg
52.0Attack28.4
51.0Defence49.0
44.1Form28.4
49.7Power37.2
1.79xG0.74
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