GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/4/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sonthofen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SonthofenDLLLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rain / LechLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SonthofenRain / Lech
52.0Attack42.2
51.0Defence47.1
44.1Form43.1
49.7Power46.1
1.81xG1.14
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