GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 7/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sonthofen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nordlingen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SonthofenLLDWD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NordlingenLLLWD

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SonthofenNordlingen
52.0Attack64.7
51.0Defence51.0
44.1Form56.9
49.7Power57.5
1.62xG1.80
View match centre →