Sonthofenvs
Nordlingen
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sonthofen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nordlingen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nordlingen
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60