Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sonthofen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Memmingen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20