Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sonthofen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kottern are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40