Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sonthofen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Kottern are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80