Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sonthofen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ismaning are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40