GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/7/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sonthofen are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Heimstetten are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SonthofenLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SonthofenHeimstetten
52.0Attack53.3
51.0Defence53.3
44.1Form46.7
49.7Power53.0
1.64xG1.43
View match centre →