GGOALVIO

Sonthofen logoSonthofenvsHeimstetten logoHeimstetten

COMPLETED

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sonthofen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Heimstetten are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Heimstetten hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SonthofenWWLWL

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HeimstettenWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SonthofenHeimstetten
52.0Attack53.3
51.0Defence53.3
44.1Form46.7
49.7Power53.0
1.64xG1.43
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