GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/9/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sonthofen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gundelfingen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gundelfingen hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SonthofenLLWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GundelfingenDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SonthofenGundelfingen
52.0Attack53.3
51.0Defence60.0
44.1Form53.3
49.7Power56.7
1.51xG1.45
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