Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sonthofen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Grünwald are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 3.40/2.80