Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Sonthofen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Garching are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
75.2%
Model confidence
75.2%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20