Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sonthofen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sonthofen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dachau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sonthofen
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80