Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Songkhla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Songkhla 1-3 Satun
Original prediction
Songkhla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.0% | 41.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 27.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.5% | 31.5% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Songkhla
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Songkhla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SongkhlaDLLDW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SatunL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/4.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
SongkhlaSatun
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.58xG1.14