Songkhlavs
Phrae United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Songkhla 1-1 Phrae United
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.6% | 35.4% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.6% | 30.4% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.8% | 34.3% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.16 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SongkhlaWDLLD
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Phrae UnitedLWWWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SongkhlaPhrae United
42.9Attack33.3
47.6Defence66.7
28.6Form47.6
40.9Power50.7
1.04xG1.09