Songkhlavs
Muang Loei United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Songkhla · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Songkhla 1-1 Muang Loei United
Original prediction
Songkhla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.4% | 39.1% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.0% | 33.5% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Songkhla
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Songkhla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.67/0.33