GGOALVIO

Vietnam · V.League 1 · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Song Lam Nghe An · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Song Lam Nghe An 1-1 Ho Chi Minh

Original prediction

Song Lam Nghe An

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3638.2%44.0%5.8 pts
Draw3.1528.7%27.5%-1.2 pts
Away2.7233.1%28.5%-4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Song Lam Nghe An

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Song Lam Nghe An has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Song Lam Nghe AnWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ho Chi MinhDLWLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Song Lam Nghe AnHo Chi Minh
83.3Attack50.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
89.7Power56.2
1.68xG1.00
View match centre →