Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Sonderjyske

Sonderjyske

Home
WD
11
Full time
Viking

Viking

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Viking52%
Draw35%
Sonderjyske13%
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Sonderjyske
13%
Draw
35%
Viking
52%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sonderjyske
34
Viking
34
Defence
Sonderjyske
82
Viking
66
Momentum
Sonderjyske
67
Viking
33
Danger (xG)
Sonderjyske
0.90
Viking
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.16 xG for Sonderjyske and 1.44 xG for Viking — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.27), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.60 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Sonderjyske's Defensive Stability (82) and Viking's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Sonderjyske)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Viking)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sonderjyske)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Viking)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
WD
VikingViking
LDWW

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
Sonderjyske13%
Draw35%
Viking52%

Viking leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Viking Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Sonderjyske host Viking in Friendlies Clubs. Sonderjyske have recorded LWDLWL in recent matches while Viking arrive with a run of WDLWWD. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Sonderjyske 0Draws 10 Viking
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Sonderjyske
D11
Viking

Recent form

Sonderjyske

Sonderjyske

W
vs Kolding IF
17 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Viking
3 Jul 2026
11
Viking

Viking

L
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
12 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.6
D
@ Sonderjyske
3 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Kristiansund BK
24 May 2026
21
xG 1.2
W
vs Start
16 May 2026
63

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sonderjyske vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts Viking to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sonderjyske vs Viking?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Sonderjyske vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sonderjyske vs Viking?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more