Sonderjyskevs
Randers FC
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Randers FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sonderjyske 4-2 Randers FC
Original prediction
Randers FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 34.7% | 25.2% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.4% | 24.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.9% | 50.8% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Randers FC
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Randers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00