SuperligaSuperliga
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:01
Sonderjyske

Sonderjyske

Home
WD
23
Full time
FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland

Away
W
Sydbank Park
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Sonderjyske(29%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Sonderjyske
29%
Draw
25%
FC Midtjylland
47%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sonderjyske
34
FC Midtjylland
99
Defence
Sonderjyske
82
FC Midtjylland
66
Momentum
Sonderjyske
67
FC Midtjylland
100
Danger (xG)
Sonderjyske
0.90
FC Midtjylland
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sonderjyske)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (FC Midtjylland)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Sonderjyske)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (FC Midtjylland)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SonderjyskeSonderjyske
WD
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
WDLDD

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Sonderjyske29%
Draw25%
FC Midtjylland47%

FC Midtjylland leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sonderjyske head into this in Superliga fixture at Sydbank Park in mixed form (WD), while FC Midtjylland arrive in mixed form (W). Sonderjyske have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FC Midtjylland over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Sonderjyske (82/100) and FC Midtjylland (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Sonderjyske have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. FC Midtjylland have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per away game.

FC Midtjylland have generated 1.34 xG per game recently while conceding 2.25 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Sonderjyske and FC Midtjylland in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Sonderjyske to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Sonderjyske 2862%, Draw 2462%, FC Midtjylland 4676%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Sonderjyske

Sonderjyske

W
vs Kolding IF
17 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Viking
3 Jul 2026
11
FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland

W
vs Odense
17 Jul 2026
41
D
@ Malmo FF
26 Jun 2026
22
L
vs Brondby
17 May 2026
23
xG 1.9
D
@ FC Copenhagen
14 May 2026
00
D
@ FC Nordsjaelland
10 May 2026
00
xG 0.7

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?

GoalVio's model predicts Sonderjyske to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more