GGOALVIO

Denmark · 1. Division · 7/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonderjyske · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sonderjyske are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Fredericia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 70.4 against 71.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the 1. Division, while Sonderjyske holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonderjyske

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

Sonderjyske has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SonderjyskeDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FC FredericiaLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SonderjyskeFC Fredericia
74.0Attack66.7
69.8Defence83.3
70.8Form66.7
70.4Power71.2
1.94xG0.94
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