Sonderjyskevs
AC Horsens
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AC Horsens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sonderjyske 2-5 AC Horsens
Original prediction
AC Horsens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 42.9% | 31.4% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.6% | 25.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 29.5% | 43.3% | 13.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
AC Horsens
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
AC Horsens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40