Somersetvs
Ulverstone
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/26/2025, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Somerset are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Ulverstone are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 6.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 31 · GA 3 · avg 6.20/0.60