GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/24/2025, 4:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Highconfidence

Somerset are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Ulverstone are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetLLWWW

GF 23 · GA 19 · avg 4.60/3.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
UlverstoneWWDLW

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetUlverstone
74.1Attack98.4
9.3Defence38.1
42.6Form65.1
39.4Power63.4
3.00xG4.50
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