Somersetvs
Ulverstone
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/25/2024, 6:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ulverstone are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 24.0-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 13 · avg 4.00/2.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40