Somersetvs
Riverside Olympic U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/12/2025, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Somerset are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 24 · avg 1.20/4.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20