GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/4/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Somerset are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Somerset

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetWLWWL

GF 21 · GA 11 · avg 4.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21WWLLL

GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetRiverside Olympic U21
74.1Attack46.3
9.3Defence0.0
42.6Form27.8
39.4Power23.4
4.50xG2.39
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