GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/11/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Lowconfidence

Somerset are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

73.0%

Model confidence

7.9%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersWWWWW

GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SomersetNorthern Rangers
74.1Attack100.0
9.3Defence59.3
42.6Form94.4
39.4Power80.0
1.87xG4.50
View match centre →