GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/22/2025, 3:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Northern Rangers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetLWWDW

GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersWWWDW

GF 23 · GA 2 · avg 4.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
SomersetNorthern Rangers
74.1Attack100.0
9.3Defence59.3
42.6Form94.4
39.4Power80.0
1.87xG4.50
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