GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/13/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Somerset are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 4.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Northern Rangers are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetWWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 4.67/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Northern RangersWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 3.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
SomersetNorthern Rangers
74.1Attack100.0
9.3Defence59.3
42.6Form94.4
39.4Power80.0
1.87xG4.50
View match centre →