GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/14/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Somerset are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 8.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Somerset

Probability

77.2%

Model confidence

8.7%

Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Launceston United U21LLLLL

GF 2 · GA 43 · avg 0.40/8.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
SomersetLaunceston United U21
74.1Attack28.1
9.3Defence0.0
42.6Form14.0
39.4Power15.8
4.50xG1.61
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