Somersetvs
Launceston United U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/12/2025, 4:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Somerset are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 5.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
75.9%
Model confidence
75.9%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 12 · avg 4.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 29 · avg 1.80/5.80