Somersetvs
Launceston United U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/15/2024, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
75.9%
Model confidence
75.9%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 13 · avg 3.60/2.60
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60