Somersetvs
Launceston U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/9/2025, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3
Somerset are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 24 · avg 1.60/4.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40