Somersetvs
Launceston U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/20/2024, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3
Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 4 · avg 5.00/0.80
GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00