Somersetvs
Devonport U21
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/22/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4
Somerset are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Devonport U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Devonport U21
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
7.4%
Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20