GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/19/2025, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Somerset are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Devonport U21 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

70.8%

Model confidence

70.8%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetWLWLL

GF 8 · GA 21 · avg 1.60/4.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Devonport U21WWWWL

GF 22 · GA 8 · avg 4.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SomersetDevonport U21
74.1Attack100.0
9.3Defence59.3
42.6Form77.8
39.4Power72.9
1.92xG4.50
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