GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/29/2024, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Somerset are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Devonport U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.8% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

70.8%

Model confidence

70.8%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetDWWLW

GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Devonport U21LLDWL

GF 12 · GA 20 · avg 2.40/4.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
SomersetDevonport U21
74.1Attack100.0
9.3Defence59.3
42.6Form77.8
39.4Power72.9
1.92xG4.50
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