Somersetvs
Burnie Utd.
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/3/2024, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4
Somerset are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 5.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 97% BTTS chance and 99% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Somerset
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 29 · GA 4 · avg 5.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60