GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/23/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Somerset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4

Highconfidence

Somerset are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Somerset holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 97% BTTS chance and 99% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Somerset

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Somerset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SomersetL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Burnie Utd.L

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
SomersetBurnie Utd.
74.1Attack80.7
9.3Defence0.0
42.6Form29.8
39.4Power32.9
4.50xG4.26
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