Somasporvs
Muş Sport Klübü
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muş Sport Klübü · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Somaspor 1-3 Muş Sport Klübü
Original prediction
Muş Sport Klübü
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.31 | 16.9% | 34.8% | 17.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 20.8% | 24.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.4% | 40.7% | -21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Muş Sport Klübü
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Muş Sport Klübü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40