Somaliavs
Ivory Coast
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 9/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ivory Coast · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Somalia 0-2 Ivory Coast
Original prediction
Ivory Coast
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 31.20 | 3.0% | 24.6% | 21.7 pts |
| Draw | 11.01 | 8.4% | 24.4% | 16.0 pts |
| Away | 1.04 | 88.6% | 50.9% | -37.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-37.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Ivory Coast
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Ivory Coast has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20