Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Solothurn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Solothurn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Zug are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Solothurn hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 2, while Solothurn holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Solothurn
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
9.1%
Solothurn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60