Solomon Islandsvs
Vanuatu
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Solomon Islands · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Solomon Islands 3-3 Vanuatu
Original prediction
Solomon Islands
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.4% | 40.3% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.4% | 27.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.2% | 32.0% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Solomon Islands
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Solomon Islands has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00