GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sollentuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sollentuna 2-0 Vasalund

Original prediction

Sollentuna

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2240.7%46.5%5.8 pts
Draw3.6424.8%23.6%-1.2 pts
Away2.6234.5%29.9%-4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.1–08%

Predicted outcome

Sollentuna

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Sollentuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SollentunaDWLLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VasalundLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SollentunaVasalund
35.9Attack48.7
53.8Defence26.9
35.9Form35.9
44.2Power39.1
1.73xG1.24
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