GGOALVIO

Sweden · Svenska Cupen · 6/7/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sollentuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sollentuna are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Vasalund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sollentuna hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Svenska Cupen, while Sollentuna holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sollentuna

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Sollentuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SollentunaLLWWL

GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VasalundWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SollentunaVasalund
16.7Attack0.0
83.3Defence66.7
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power23.7
1.81xG1.26
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