Sollentunavs
Stocksund
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sollentuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sollentuna 3-0 Stocksund
Original prediction
Sollentuna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.6% | 47.0% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.5% | 21.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.12 | 21.9% | 31.4% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sollentuna
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Sollentuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40