Sollentunavs
Gefle IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sollentuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sollentuna 1-0 Gefle IF
Original prediction
Sollentuna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.1% | 39.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 26.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.4% | 33.6% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sollentuna
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Sollentuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60