Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Solin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Solin 1-1 Zagora
Original prediction
Solin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.8% | 51.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.9% | 25.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.4% | 23.4% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Solin
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Solin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SolinWLDWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ZagoraLDDWL
GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SolinZagora
60.0Attack33.3
63.3Defence66.7
60.0Form33.3
60.1Power45.3
1.93xG0.91